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AP-NORC Poll Signals Trouble: Trump’s Economic Approval Drops to 30% Amid Iran Price Pressures

By Matthias Binder April 22, 2026
Trump's approval on economy falls in AP-NORC poll, showing new warning signs for president
Trump's approval on economy falls in AP-NORC poll, showing new warning signs for president (Featured Image)
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Trump's approval on economy falls in AP-NORC poll, showing new warning signs for president

Contents
Poll Reveals Rapid Decline in Key RatingsRepublican Support Shows First CracksIran War Fuels Everyday Economic StrainsPublic Voices Reflect Mixed SentimentsKey Takeaways

Poll Reveals Rapid Decline in Key Ratings (Image Credits: Upload.wikimedia.org)

President Donald Trump’s handling of the economy drew increased criticism in a new AP-NORC poll conducted amid the ongoing Iran war, which has sent energy costs soaring. Approval ratings on economic matters fell to 30 percent in April from 38 percent in March, reflecting broader discontent with rising prices for essentials.[1][2] The survey captured a moment of testing patience among voters, as the conflict disrupted oil flows through key waterways and contributed to economic uncertainty. Even core supporters began voicing reservations, highlighting vulnerabilities in the president’s second term.

Poll Reveals Rapid Decline in Key Ratings

The AP-NORC survey, fielded from April 16 to 20, painted a challenging picture for Trump. Researchers polled 2,596 adults from NORC’s AmeriSpeak Panel, yielding a margin of error of plus or minus 2.6 percentage points.[1] Overall job approval stood at 33 percent, a slight dip from 38 percent the prior month. Perceptions of the national economy worsened, with 75 percent of respondents describing it as poor, up from about two-thirds in February.

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Approval on the cost of living lagged further behind at just 25 percent. Immigration fared better at 40 percent, but economic issues dominated concerns. The data underscored a shift, as 72 percent believed the country headed in the wrong direction, a steady pessimism through recent months.[2]

Issue April Approval March Approval
Economy 30% 38%
Overall Job 33% 38%
Cost of Living 25% Not specified
Immigration 40% 40%

Republican Support Shows First Cracks

Republicans remained Trump’s strongest backers, but enthusiasm waned. Economy approval among GOP voters dropped to 62 percent from 74 percent in March.[1] Strong approval of his overall performance fell from 51 percent to 38 percent. Younger Republicans under 45 expressed particular frustration with cost-of-living increases, disapproving at 60 percent rates.

Independents proved even more critical, with only 20 percent approving of economic handling, down from 30 percent. MAGA Republicans bucked the trend, offering 90 percent overall approval and 70 percent on costs. Non-MAGA Republicans approved overall at 44 percent, revealing internal divides.

  • GOP economy approval: 62% (down 12 points)
  • Strong GOP overall approval: 38% (down 13 points)
  • Independents on economy: 20%
  • MAGA Republicans: 90% overall approval

Iran War Fuels Everyday Economic Strains

The conflict, which escalated after U.S. strikes in February, played a central role in the poll’s findings. Oil prices climbed about 35 percent, pushing gasoline costs higher despite Trump’s pledges to lower them. The consumer price index rose 3.3 percent in March year-over-year, edging above the 3 percent level at his inauguration.

Disruptions in the Strait of Hormuz, briefly reopened and then shuttered again, created market volatility. Trump described the price hikes as a “little journey” and noted surprise that oil had not reached $200 per barrel. Hiring slowed amid tariff uncertainties, tempering claims of a booming recovery. These factors combined to make basics like health care and transportation feel less affordable to many.[1]

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Public Voices Reflect Mixed Sentiments

Respondents offered candid views on the shifting landscape. Kathryn Bright, a 60-year-old retired Air Force captain and former Trump supporter, expressed betrayal: “I feel disgusted with myself… like he was a wolf in sheep’s clothing.”[1] She likened unkept promises to high school election hype.

Others stayed loyal. Miguel Cortes, a 67-year-old retired mechanic, affirmed his faith: “From deep in my soul, I believe God put him there for a reason.” He accepted price rises stoically: “it is what it is.” Student Heidi Bunting captured widespread struggle: “It’s awful, and not just for me.”

Key Takeaways

  • Economic approval plummeted to 30 percent, driven by Iran-related price spikes.
  • GOP support eroded slightly, with younger Republicans most vocal on costs.
  • 75 percent now view the economy as poor, signaling broad unease.

The AP-NORC results serve as a cautionary note for Trump, whose ratings now mirror some of his predecessor’s lows during inflationary periods. As midterm elections approach, sustained economic pressures from the Middle East could reshape political dynamics. Voters weigh promises against realities at the checkout line and gas pump. What do you think about these poll findings? Share in the comments below.

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