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News

Ninth Circuit Bolsters Nevada’s Bid to Curb Kalshi Prediction Markets

By Matthias Binder February 20, 2026
Appeals Court rules in favor of Nevada in prediction market dispute
Appeals Court rules in favor of Nevada in prediction market dispute (Featured Image)
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Appeals Court rules in favor of Nevada in prediction market dispute

Contents
Appeals Court Rejects Kalshi’s Emergency PleaUnlicensed Wagers or Legitimate Derivatives?Swift State Court Action FollowsA National Turf War EmergesToward the Supreme Court?

Appeals Court Rejects Kalshi’s Emergency Plea (Image Credits: Pixabay)

Nevada — Federal appeals judges handed state gaming regulators a significant victory in their ongoing effort to halt prediction market platform Kalshi from offering sports-related contracts within the state.[1][2]

Appeals Court Rejects Kalshi’s Emergency Plea

The U.S. Ninth Circuit Court of Appeals issued a brief order on February 17, 2026, denying KalshiEX LLC’s motion for an administrative stay. This decision cleared the path for Nevada to enforce its regulations against the New York-based company. Previously, a lower federal district court had sided temporarily with Kalshi, but the appeals panel reinstated Nevada’s position.[1]

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Nevada Gaming Control Board members viewed the ruling as affirmation of their authority. The board had argued that Kalshi’s operations bypassed state licensing requirements. Kalshi, in turn, sought to pause enforcement while its broader appeal proceeded.[3]

Unlicensed Wagers or Legitimate Derivatives?

At the core of the conflict lies Kalshi’s platform, which enables users to trade contracts predicting outcomes of events, with about 90 percent focused on sports. Regulators labeled these as unlicensed parlay wagers on multievent sports results, posing risks to consumers and the gaming industry. Nevada casinos reported their lowest Super Bowl betting volume in a decade, coinciding with Kalshi’s reported $1 billion in related contracts.[2][1]

Kalshi maintained that its offerings constituted federally regulated financial derivatives under Commodity Futures Trading Commission oversight, not traditional gambling. The CFTC supported this view through a friend-of-the-court brief. Still, Nevada Gaming Control Board Chairman Mike Dreitzer emphasized, “It’s our view that this is sports betting, plain and simple.”[3]

  • Nevada’s cease-and-desist order targeted Kalshi’s website and app accessibility to state residents.
  • Contracts included predictions on Super Bowl results and other major sporting events.
  • Regulators highlighted threats to licensed sportsbooks operated by resorts.
  • Kalshi expanded offerings despite ongoing litigation.

Swift State Court Action Follows

Hours after the Ninth Circuit’s decision, the Nevada Gaming Control Board filed a civil enforcement petition in Carson City District Court. The move sought a permanent injunction to bar Kalshi from Nevada operations. Kalshi quickly removed the case to federal court, where it landed before U.S. District Judge Miranda Du.[3]

This procedural maneuver could delay resolution, according to gaming law experts. The Nevada Resort Association backed the regulators, stressing protection for the state’s economic pillar. Chairman Dreitzer added that the board would “vigorously fulfill its obligation to safeguard Nevada residents and gaming patrons.”[1]

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A National Turf War Emerges

Nevada led a coalition of more than 20 states that pursued legal action against Kalshi, Polymarket, and similar platforms since early 2024. Massachusetts and New Jersey issued suits or cease-and-desist orders, while 37 states plus the District of Columbia advocated for state-level control. Prediction market advocates pushed for uniform federal regulation.[2][3]

Key Players Position
Nevada Gaming Control Board State licensing required for sports contracts
KalshiEX LLC CFTC oversight preempts state laws
CFTC Federal authority over prediction markets
20+ States Enforcement against unlicensed operations

The dispute drew political attention, with ties to the Trump family through investments in rival platforms.

Toward the Supreme Court?

Legal observers anticipated escalation. Gaming attorney Daniel Wallach predicted a U.S. Supreme Court petition as the next arena. Sports gambling expert Andrew Kim agreed, noting the case’s trajectory. Professor I. Nelson Rose foresaw potential delays extending to 2028.[3]

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Key Takeaways:

  • Ninth Circuit ruling empowers Nevada to restrict Kalshi immediately.
  • Multi-state actions signal regulatory patchwork challenges.
  • Supreme Court review could define prediction markets’ future nationwide.

This ruling underscores tensions between state gaming sovereignty and federal financial innovation. As battles unfold, the outcome may reshape how Americans wager on uncertain events. What implications do you see for Nevada’s gaming dominance? Share your thoughts in the comments.

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